币圈真势 1/12:暴跌是ETC51%攻击的祸?还会继续暴跌吗?

链向财经    2019-01-12 21:59:28

道势以捕捉细节,客观分析,狠抓趋势,清晰呈现为宗旨

市场研判:

51%攻击在加密货币世界是灾难性的——真的吗?1月7日凌晨,仅在Gate.io加密数字货币交易所,攻击者在4个小时内,用超过51%算力双花了至少4笔总计54200个ETC,价值27.1万美元。有传言称,两个小时的攻击时间内,攻击者的成本仅为两万美元,获利超过10倍。此次事件再度让投资者对加密货币安全性问题深深的担忧,51%攻击性问题依然还是区块链的噩梦。

俗话说伤痛过后总需要时间疗伤,市场经过暴跌后近期还是偏震荡修复行情为主。市场经过一轮暴跌目前已经有企稳缓和的迹象,主流货币在技术性修正,大饼在凌晨出现锤子线,多次探底后反弹,MACD绿柱开始缩短,DIF,DEA开始向上拐头有粘合的动作,技术面上中性偏多。现在就是时间换空间的情况了,目前除非出现大的利好可加快企稳反弹的时间,否则咋们投资者还是耐心等待新反弹信号的出现。

市场多空消息面:

[if !supportLists]1. [endif]据newsbtc报道,加密产品评级公司Flipside Crypto的数据显示,许多长期休眠的比特币钱包再次活跃起来,这可能意味着数字资产空间可能会出现更大的价格波动。中性

2.央行数字货币研究所所长姚前此前对媒体表示:“央行发行法定数字货币的原型方案已完成两轮修订,未来有望在票据市场等相对封闭的应用场景先行先试,但推出暂无明确时间表。利好

3.BTC在交易所的多头头寸总计33750个,按当前市场价格计算价值1.373亿美元,而空头头寸的数量约为1.1万个单位,仅为22787个,目前价值略低于9300万美元。这创造了近1.5:1的多空比,这是自去年8月6日以来的最高水平。利好

 

 

技术面:

BTC:

 

此图为6小时线,目前走势符合昨日给出的预期行情,今日行情还是在箱底小幅震荡,成交量缩小,凌晨出现了几根锤子线有不错的信号,日内涨幅很弱,晚上是主战场时间,在今天晚上可能会出现比较大的波段。震荡偏上的概率比较大,万一出现破箱底下跌那么一味着新一波的下跌会去探上个月的低点。所以在这个位置咋们还是多看少做,激进的投资者的话可轻仓布局多单,但一定要设置好止损点。

操盘策略:3535附近可布局多单,上涨后可加仓,短期可看到3690.若放量跌破箱底可追空。

ETH:

 

上图为6h线,今日eth与btc的联动性较大,在125美金附近维持着几十个小时的弱势震荡,等待市场的信号方向。

操盘策略:空仓观望,莫要心急。

ONT:

 

ONT昨天开始凌晨开始出现了四根阳线,比较不错的反弹,币性比较强,符合我昨天给出的预期,但目前依然还是受大盘的影响压力比较重,投资者多单可轻仓,不易操之过急,等待市场回暖再加仓。

操盘策略:在0.5855附近可做多,上涨可加仓,上方看到压力位0.6115

 

风控提示:本材料仅供学习参考,不构成买卖建议,据此买卖,风险自担。

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Expected to fall:1
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