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Coinbase on the Cusp: 70% Odds for Total Dismissal in High-Stakes SEC Lawsuit

By James Dean
Jan 29, 2024
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Elliott Stein, a senior litigation analyst at Bloomberg, expressed confidence in Coinbase's chances of winning its lawsuit against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). After attending a five-hour hearing, Stein's view shifted significantly, leading him to believe that Coinbase could secure a complete dismissal of the SEC's lawsuit. Initially, he thought Coinbase would only get partial dismissal, particularly in the transactions aspect, but not in the pledge and brokerage claims.

The SEC's lawsuit alleges that Coinbase falls under its regulatory scope due to its activities involving offering and selling investment contracts. These activities include pledging customer assets, earning rewards on their behalf, and then returning these assets. Additionally, the SEC accuses Coinbase of operating as an unregistered broker. However, Coinbase counters these claims, arguing that there is no straightforward path for cryptocurrency exchanges to obtain the necessary registration.

A key turning point in the hearing, according to Stein, was Coinbase's detailed definition of an "investment contract," which he found more convincing than the SEC's definition. He believes that what Coinbase offers necessitates an investment in the business, not just in the ecosystem, and involves enforceable obligations. This perspective is bolstered by a parallel in the SEC vs. Ripple case, where in July 2023, a judge ruled that XRP sales on cryptocurrency exchanges do not constitute securities in retail transactions.

Stein further emphasized that the securities decision in the Ripple case could influence the outcome of Coinbase's lawsuit. He argued, referencing the Ripple case, that the sale of digital assets on public exchanges doesn't always meet the criteria of an investment contract under the Howey test. This argument was considered during a hearing on January 17, where U.S. District Judge Katherine Polk Failla listened to arguments from both the SEC and Coinbase over a span of five hours.

In a significant development for the cryptocurrency community, Judge Failla challenged SEC lawyers to clarify how digital token offerings meet the criteria of the Howey test, considering the case's broad implications. The SEC had filed the lawsuit against Coinbase on June 6, 2023, alleging that the exchange violated federal securities laws by listing 13 tokens, including those of Solana, Cardano, Polygon, Filecoin, Sandbox, Axie Infinity, Chiliz (CHZ), Flow, Internet Computer, Near, Voyager (VGX), Dash, and Nexo (NEXO), as securities.

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