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Analyst Hints at Shadow Quantum Race Between China and US

By bitcoin.com
Jan 6, 2026
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Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards suggested that the U.S. and China are engaged in a shadow race to achieve quantum superiority, and that it is likely that China is concealing its quantum capabilities. The U.S. Congress has recommended establishing a Quantum First goal by 2030.

China Likely Concealing Quantum Capabilities: What If It Comes First?

The race for quantum superiority has become one of the new war domains in the current geopolitical and economic context.

Edwards states that Congress has been recommended to establish a Quantum-First strategy to reach quantum superiority by 2030, with a “wall of money” flowing into the industry in this regard.

In this regard, he points out that China’s quantum capabilities are likely being concealed and that, in some cases, these might be even more advanced than what American companies have to offer.

The latest report to Congress from the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission points out that whoever leads in quantum “will control the encryption of the digital economy; enable breakthroughs in materials, energy, and medicine; and gain asymmetric and likely persistent advantage in intelligence and targeting.”

FAQ What has Charles Edwards stated about the geopolitical race for quantum supremacy? Edwards emphasizes that the U.S. and China are in a race for quantum superiority, which will have significant global implications. What strategy has been recommended to Congress for achieving quantum superiority? Congress is advised to establish a Quantum-First strategy aiming for quantum superiority by 2030, supported by substantial funding. What concerns did the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission raise? The Commission warned that leading in quantum technology will allow control over digital economy encryption and breakthroughs in various fields, providing a strategic advantage. How does quantum computing pose a risk to Bitcoin, according to Edwards? Edwards warns that without timely upgrades to become quantum-resistant, a quantum computer could compromise Bitcoin within 2-9 years, threatening its future viability.
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