Myriad Moves: Traders Bet on Zcash Rebound, But Aren't Buying Another Bitcoin All-Time High

But the rally did not sustain its momentum and prices have since fallen—and in turn, predictors on Myriad have become more bearish on key crypto targets.

(Disclaimer: Myriad Markets is a product of Decrypt’s parent company, Dastan.)

The price slide and BTC’s inability to sustain a strong rally upwards has traders on Myriad leaning bearish about its chances of making a new all-time high price before July. 

As of Thursday, predictors give Bitcoin just a 21% chance of marching above $126,000 anytime before July. 

That represents around a 6.5% drop in odds over the last week as time erodes with BTC still sitting 29% off its October high of $126,080. 

Are analysts making the right call? Or is the wisdom with the crowd? 

In one of Myriad’s longest-running markets, predictors are asked whether or not Ethereum will hit $4,000 or $2,500 first. Since November, the second-largest crypto asset by market cap has been ranging between the two figures—at one point coming within $200 of resolving to $2,500.

But after odds got as high as 81% in favor of a dump to $2,500 in November, they’ve since shifted and are now ranging alongside Ethereum’s price, flip-flopping frequently to favor either a pump or a dump.

As of Thursday, traders are slightly bearish, with around 53% in favor of a dump to $2,500. Those odds are about 18% higher than Tuesday when Ethereum had rallied to nearly $3,300, according to CoinGecko. 

But like Bitcoin, Ethereum’s rally was short-lived, slipping alongside the broader market and dropping its weekly gain to just 3.5%. As it stands now, Ethereum is changing hands at $3,096—19% above the $2,500 mark that predictors favor.

Will it hit $2,500 before the move up? Lee thinks not. Predictors think otherwise. 

What’s Next? Much like Bitcoin, the next FOMC meeting may have a material impact on the price of Ethereum. 

While crypto majors floundered in the final months of last year, privacy-focused token Zcash (ZEC) gave traders something to talk about. 

The asset has rallied more than 700% in the last year to recently change hands at $429, and briefly traded above $700 in early November. Despite the gains, it still sits 86.5% off its 2021 all-time high of $3,191. 

Now predictors on Myriad are asked about its next stop—a jump to $550, or dump to $250? 

As news of the dispute hit social media, ZEC began to fall and has now dropped more than 9%, at one point falling as low as $384 before rebounding. 

“The simplest way to think of this is a startup or a tech company can actually work and ship and scale, but a non-profit necessarily cannot,” said Mumtaz on the Fomo Hour show about the developers spinning up their own firm, reiterating that the team remains fully committed to ZCash. 

Predictors on the new market favor a jump up to $550 at 62%, a jump up from an even split earlier in the day. At its current trading price of $430, ZEC would need to jump 28% to hit $550. To hit $250, it would need to drop around 42%. 

What’s Next? This market will remain open until resolution.