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Onchain Analyst Willy Woo Defends Bitcoin’s Four-Year Cycle, Dismissing ‘Death of the Pattern’ Narratives

By bitcoin.com
Jan 11, 2026
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The ‘Heartbeat’ Analogy

To illustrate his point, Woo uses a medical analogy to describe how social media often misinterprets data. He explains that if your heart beats at 70 bpm and drops slightly while you sleep, it does not mean a resting heartbeat no longer exists just because the timing varied. The analyst suggests that while external factors might cause minor deviations in timing or intensity, the underlying pulse of the four-year cycle—driven by supply and demand mechanics—remains fundamentally healthy.

Predictions for a Mature Market

Meanwhile, in response to a critic questioning his credibility, Woo denied claims that a hedge fund he presided over collapsed in 2020. “No, that was Murad’s fund,” Woo explained. “My first fund was Crest in 2022; it’s 4 years old and is still operational today having delivered consistent returns. In fact, we run three institutional funds, including SyzCrest in partnership with Syz Banking Group.”

FAQ Is bitcoin’s four‑year cycle really over? On‑chain analyst Willy Woo says the data still supports the cycle’s rhythm. Why do some experts call the cycle dead? Institutional ETF flows and macro forces are seen as stronger drivers than halvings. What does Woo cite as proof of the cycle? He points to halving supply shocks and global liquidity’s four‑year pulse. How does this debate affect investors worldwide? Markets may shift from boom‑and‑bust cycles to steadier, macro‑linked growth.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may have been obtained from third parties and does not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of BitKan. This content is provided for general informational purposes only, without any representation or warranty of any kind, nor shall it be construed as financial or investment advice. BitKan shall not be liable for any errors or omissions, or for any outcomes resulting from the use of this information. Investments in digital assets can be risky. Please carefully evaluate the risks of a product and your risk tolerance based on your own financial circumstances. Products mentioned in this article may not be available in your region.

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