In a recent post on X, analyst Tony outlined a macro cycle framework that he says has consistently defined the best windows to accumulate Bitcoin and the best periods to exit around cycle highs. His theory is based on historical bull and bear market durations stretching back to 2015, and he claims the current cycle is following that same pattern almost perfectly.
The 1,066-Day Bull And 365-Day Bear PatternThe first example he highlights runs from January 8, 2015, to December 17, 2017, a 1,066-day expansion that ended near the cycle peak. That was followed by a one-year decline into December 2018. The same pattern repeated from December 16, 2018, to November 10, 2021, another 1,066-day bull run, followed by a 365-day bear market into November 2022.
According to Tony, the current cycle is no different. The most recent bull market was dated from November 22, 2022, to October 6, 2025, right when Bitcoin reached a peak price of $126,080. Interestingly, this period once again totaled approximately 1,066 days.
Final Capitulation Could Still Be Ahead He contrasted two emotional extremes in the analysis: early buyers celebrating perceived bargains during a falling market and later participants paralyzed by fear as the price reaches deep support.
