The report states:
The researchers detail: “This historical pattern has shown that the risk-reward has been positively skewed to the upside after major geopolitical risk events, although downside risks may remain in the short-term.”
According to the report:
FAQ 🧭 Why is bitcoin under pressure right now? Escalating geopolitical tensions and deteriorating risk sentiment have triggered short-term selling and volatility. What does history suggest about bitcoin after geopolitical shocks? Past spikes in geopolitical risk have often been followed by above-average forward returns despite initial drawdowns. How are institutional flows responding to the volatility? Global bitcoin ETPs recorded strong net inflows even as derivatives markets signaled elevated downside hedging. What macro factors could support bitcoin into 2026? Reflationary cycles driven by fiscal expansion and rising energy prices have historically supported scarce assets like bitcoin.















