As shown in the chart below, each major Bitcoin cycle shows green zones forming during periods of PMI contraction, followed by strong upward expansions once conditions change. These conditions are based on previous market bottoms, with examples being the accumulation ranges before the 2017 and 2021 rallies.
Green-shaded zones labeled “scale out” periods consistently correspond with peak price phases across multiple cycles in 2013, 2017, and 2021. Red-shaded “scale in” zones, by contrast, highlight the accumulation floors.
At the time of writing, the Purchasing Managers’ Index is sitting at a reading just above 48, which is bordering below the expansion signal reading of 50. What this means is that Bitcoin is currently sitting in the early phase of the PMI, which is the same structural zone that preceded each of the major rallies catalogued in the chart above.
The indicator on the chart is positioned in a red accumulation zone and is expected to resolve to the upside over the coming months. According to the analyst, Bitcoin is currently in the exact same zone that marked every major buy window in history. However, this current accumulation zone won’t be available much longer.
