Bitcoin Price Prediction Markets Show $100K Odds at 12% for 2026, Data Reveals

Apr 10, 2026

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Key Takeaways:

Polymarket’s April 2026 bitcoin price market has logged $11.8 million in volume, with $75,000 carrying only 54% odds. Kalshi traders put just a 2% chance on bitcoin crossing $100,000 before May 2026, with $31.5 million wagered on the $150,000 milestone. Myriad markets show bitcoin’s next big move nearly split, with a 51.6% chance of reaching $84,000 before $55,000. Bitcoin Price Markets in 2026: Traders Skeptical of Six-Figure Breakout in Near Term Image source: Polymarket on Thursday at 10:30 a.m.

Image source: Kalshi on Thursday at 10:30 a.m. Image source: Myriad on Thursday at 10:30 a.m.

The next several months of price action will determine which of these probability curves get repriced.

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