Iran has imposed a hard limit of 15 vessels per day through the Strait of Hormuz under the fragile ceasefire agreement reached with the United States on April 7, 2026.
Key Takeaways:
Iran has capped Strait of Hormuz vessel traffic at 15 ships per day under the April 7 US-Iran ceasefire brokered by Pakistan. The IRGC-enforced limit kept Brent crude near $94.75 and WTI at $93 as of April 9, 2026, sustaining global energy market volatility. US VP JD Vance leads Islamabad talks expected April 10, where Iran’s asset-unfreezing and UN resolution demands will face direct pressure. Global Oil Supply at Risk as Iran Enforces 15-Ship Daily Limit on Hormuz PassageShipowners and cargo operators remain cautious despite the ceasefire announcement. War-risk insurance premiums remain elevated, and operators are waiting for clearer signals before restoring normal routing through the strait.
The Islamabad talks will test whether the 15-vessel limit holds, expands, or collapses entirely. Iran has left little ambiguity about its position. Whether the US and its partners can negotiate a durable return to open transit remains the central question heading into the next round of talks.
