JD Vance entered the vice presidency with a modest net positive approval rating and has since watched it fall 21 points in roughly 15 months.
Key Takeaways:
JD Vance’s net job approval dropped 21 points from January 2025 to April 2026, per CNN polling data. Polymarket’s 2028 presidential market hit $521.6M in volume, with Vance leading at 18.9% odds. Kalshi gives Vance a 21% chance in 2028, but Gavin Newsom at 17% is closing the gap fast. JD Vance Approval Hits Lowest VP Rating in Modern Era as 2028 Speculation Builds on Prediction Markets
Vance retains strong support within the Republican base. That has not changed. But the broader approval numbers and the tightening gap with Newsom on both platforms reflect a political position that is less comfortable than it was 15 months ago.
The 2028 race is still two and a half years away. The betting markets are open, and the field is wide. Vance leads them both, but the margin is thinner by the day.
