As reported by several media outlets, Iran delivered its proposal via Pakistani mediators, suggesting an extended ceasefire and the reopening of the strait in exchange for a pause in the U.S. naval blockade. While the U.S. Military’s initial strikes and pressure campaign may not have achieved desired results, the naval blockade of Iranian ports has seemingly turned the tables by depriving the country of a vital revenue source.
By seeking an end to the blockade and an extension of the ceasefire, Iran signaled it may be ready to make a giant concession to end a war that has devastated the global economy. However, some observers noted that Tehran’s proposals appear to relegate a key issue that led President Donald Trump to launch strikes: the nuclear program. The Strait of Hormuz and the U.S. blockade, they say, are products of the war that both parties might use to exit a conflict that lacks a clear off-ramp for the U.S.
“If you look at the statistical impact of the previous crash to $60,000, there’s been only one scenario where the markets have hit new lows: the fourth quarter of 2022 during the FTX collapse,” van de Poppe said.
Although he conceded a cataclysmic event similar to FTX could happen again, van de Poppe asserted that, statistically, a new all-time high is typically reached in less than 12 months following such a collapse.
