Two moments stand out as structural inflection points on the monthly chart. The first came in early 2017, when the ETH price broke above the $40 psychological resistance level after repeatedly failing to clear it throughout 2016. That was the ignition point for a rally of about 7,500%.
The second came in mid-2020, when Ethereum, having spent two years consolidating inside a falling wedge pattern, staged another breakout from the lower support trendline of that formation, launching a continuation rally of roughly 1,900%.
What followed both breakouts was a prolonged period of sideways price action, and that is precisely where Ethereum finds itself again. ETH has now been consolidating for almost six years below $4,900. The overall bullish trend, however, has not been broken.
If the support holds and bullish confirmation develops, the path forward becomes relatively straightforward from a technical standpoint. The first major target is a return to the $4,500 resistance range. A clean break above that level would finalize the completion of the ascending triangle. According to the analyst, this is expected to play out a 100% rally in 2026.
