XRP Sentiment Tanks To A 2-Year Low—But History Hints At Major Bullish Comeback

Over the past 48 hours, XRP lost the important $1.40 support level. Meanwhile, social sentiment around the token moved in the wrong direction, widening the gap between bullish and bearish voices. 

Fear and caution are becoming more common among investors, and that shift is happening while the price action remains unstable. Still, one analyst believes this combination could be the start of a turnaround, pointing to how XRP behaved the last time sentiment deteriorated this sharply.

Beyond these factors, Daodu also links pressure on the token to broader macro conditions. Japan’s 10-year government bond yield climbed toward roughly 1.97% to 1.98%, borrowing costs rose, and that has pressured investors to reduce risk, with XRP among the assets affected. 

As a result, analytics provider Santiment, cited in Daodu’s report, says negative conversations have surged, with more users openly questioning whether XRP is truly decentralized, what real-world problem it solves, and who effectively controls the network. 

In February 2025, sentiment dropped to a ratio of 0.96 bullish to 1.00 bearish, with XRP trading around $2. From there, the altcoin surged 82%, eventually reaching a high of $3.65 by July. Then, in October 2025, the ratio was 1.01 bullish per 1.00 bearish. 

In the current reading, with prices currently at around $1.37 at the time of writing, the ratio stands at 1.02 bullish to 1.00 bearish, which Daodu describes as the third-most bearish social sentiment level in the last two years.

In other words, the current bounce—if it comes—would likely depend on catalysts rather than sentiment alone. Until something concrete changes, Daodu argues that a major rally is unlikely.

For XRP to move into a bullish run similar to the one that followed the February 2025 sentiment low, Daodu says several elements would need to align. 

Second is whale behavior, where on-chain data reportedly point to accumulation rather than distribution. Daodu says large wallets are adding more than 11 million XRP every day, and that the Whale Flow 30DMA is at a 10-month high. 

Daodu’s overall takeaway is that the current environment may look like a trap to some, but it could also be an opportunity—if the right signals keep appearing. 

Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com