Bitcoin Tests Critical Support As Bearish Signals Point To $60,000 Retest

Bitcoin (BTC) is at a pivotal level as geopolitical tensions rise and bearish setups emerge, prompting some analysts to warn of a potential 15% correction if a critical support area doesn’t hold.

Following news of renewed US strikes against Iranian targets, Bitcoin dropped roughly 5% from $76,000 to a one-month low of $72,589. At the start of the week, the cryptocurrency had been trading between $77,000-$78,000 after recovering from last week’s pullback. However, the growing geopolitical tensions have pushed the price toward a critical area.

Now, the price is consolidating at the lower boundary of the ascending channel, which could set the stage for a 15% drop. According to the post, the channel’s floor aligns with the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, making the current price levels a crucial area.

“This cluster between $73,000 and $71,300 serves as a major structural floor,” he stated, noting that if buyers defend this zone, a “steady expansion back toward $77,000 or even $79,500” could be expected.

The chart shows that the cryptocurrency formed the left shoulder during the late April pullback and later developed the head during this month’s rally. Meanwhile, the pattern’s right shoulder began forming after the rejection from the $82,500 resistance.

Notably, BTC consolidated above the early November lows for roughly two months before rallying mid-January toward the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the crucial $98,000 horizontal level. The cryptocurrency was rejected from this area, briefly consolidating near the local lows before breaking down toward new lows.

Now, the price has seen a similar performance, retesting and rejecting from both the horizontal $80,000 level and the 200-day MA and EMA. As a result, the analyst considers that BTC will see “another lower high in the bigger down trend until proven otherwise.”