Three investigations. Four suspects. Zero proof. Between October 2024 and April 2026, an HBO documentary, a New York Times investigation, and a feature-length film each named a different person as Satoshi Nakamoto and all three came up short.
Key Takeaways:
Polymarket gives Adam Back only a 6% chance of confirmed Satoshi identity by Dec. 31, 2026.The “Finding Satoshi” documentary, released April 22, 2026, argues Bitcoin had 2 co-creators, not one.Two weeks after the Times piece, on April 22, 2026, a separate documentary made a different argument entirely. “Finding Satoshi,” the result of a four-year investigation by author William D. Cohan and private investigator Tyler Maroney of Quest Research, argued that Satoshi was not one person but two.
The three investigations, taken together, contradict each other in key respects. Each eliminates candidates that the others endorse.
The Coins Have Not Moved
