Weiss Crypto Says Best Bitcoin Buying Opportunity In Years May Be Near

Weiss Crypto says Bitcoin may be approaching one of its strongest buying opportunities in years, with senior analyst Juan M. Villaverde arguing that a coming pullback could mark the final confirmation that the market’s bearish phase has ended.

Villaverde said Bitcoin has largely continued to trade in line with macro signals, despite temporary deviations around geopolitical and legislative events. He pointed to a February low that his framework had been tracking since last year, followed by a rally that he said was weaker than expected.

“We’ve been looking at this February bottom since last year. We’ve been talking about a Q4 correction since Q4 of last year. We were expecting a sell-off into February,” Villaverde said. He added that he began buying Bitcoin in late January because the market was already close to the expected cycle window.

“Bitcoin has been moving alongside the macro,” he said, after filtering out that period. He argued that liquidity topped around the same time as Bitcoin and then began moving lower, while bond-market signals also pointed toward a downturn.

The central point of the analysis was not that Bitcoin is entering a deeper bear market. Villaverde stressed that his framework is pointing to a correction inside a changed regime, not a collapse.

“I just want to zoom out here and be very clear. I’m not predicting 50K. I’m not even saying it goes below $70K. I’m not even sure it goes below $70K,” he said. “I think that if you’re shorting this, this is not really what my framework is suggesting. My framework is suggesting that this is the correction that confirms that the bear market is over.”

“If these two do not make new lows, my expectation is Bitcoin does not make new lows,” he said.

In terms of downside, Villaverde said a move toward $60,000 remains possible under his Hurst cycle framework without invalidating the bullish structure. Still, he described the $65,000 to $66,000 area as more likely because it would preserve a higher low and keep the 320-day cycle right-translated, a structure he characterized as bullish.

Rather than selling spot or shorting Bitcoin, Villaverde said he is approaching the setup through options. With Bitcoin near $80,000, he said he has been selling calls, while a sell-off would lead him to begin selling puts around $70,000, $65,000 or $60,000.

The larger implication, according to Villaverde, is that Bitcoin may be forming an unusually shallow bear-market structure, shaped by institutional demand. “If we see that, that would be the most shallow bear market in crypto history,” he said, adding that it may have ended with a single low that was not retested.

At press time, BTC traded at $72,043.