If You’re Waiting For The Bitcoin Bottom, This Pundit Says You Should Be Looking At This Quarter

Crypto pundit Ardi believes the answer may be found less in the current candle and more in the calendar, especially since we are still in the second quarter of the year, while past bear market lows have usually arrived much later in the year.

Crypto pundit Ardi, posting on X alongside a weekly Bitcoin chart that encompasses over a decade of price history, laid out a pattern that has held without exception across every prior market cycle. 

The Bitcoin weekly candlestick chart below captures this trend very clearly. Bitcoin’s 2013 cycle correction lasted 413 days before bottoming in November 2014, the 2017 bear cycle correction lasted 378 days before the December 2018 low, and the 2021 cycle bear market lasted 364 days before BTC bottomed in November 2022. 

The current correction is at 245 days from the October 2025 high of $126,000, leaving room for more time if the market continues to mirror previous bear-market structures.