Bitcoin closed the week of June 5, 2026 down by almost 20%, its highest single-week percentage decline since the collapse of FTX in November 2022. The last time the market saw a candle this red, it was during the cycle bottom.
Bitcoin’s Drop Brings Back The FTX ComparisonThe move translates to a decline of about 19.5% from the weekly open to the low and 20.1% from the high to the low, making it Bitcoin’s worst weekly percentage drop since the FTX crash in 2022, when the price fell by roughly 22% in a single week.
The Power Law model is a long-term valuation model that can also be used for a reversal signal. Every prior instance in which the quantile oscillator reached this level, visible in the chart across 2015, 2018/2019, and the 2022 bottom, preceded notable multi-year recoveries.
Bitcoin can stay undervalued for longer than traders expect, especially if the momentum is weak and there’s forced selling. Still, the metric does show that Bitcoin is now much closer to the lower regression bands than the overheated upper bands in previous cycle peaks.
Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
