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Kalshi Traders Price 80% Odds Bitcoin Stays Below $100K Through 2026

By bitcoin.com
Jun 23, 2026
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Key Takeaways:

Kalshi’s $10M prediction market gives bitcoin only a 19% chance of crossing $100K before January 2027. Bitcoin is down roughly 27% year-to-date in 2026 and sits about 50% below its October 2025 all-time high.Separate Kalshi contracts price a 57% chance that bitcoin falls below $50K before year-end 2026.
Where the Money Is Going Kalshi on X on Monday morning. Before July 2026: Less than 1% probability (Yes contracts at 1 cent) Before October 2026: 11% probability (Yes contracts at 11 cents, No contracts at 90 cents) Before January 2027: 19% to 22% probability (Yes contracts near 22 cents, No contracts at 82 cents) Downside Risk Is Priced In Too What’s Driving the Caution Analysts Weigh In Dr. Whale on X is bullish. What This Means for Traders
Disclaimer: The information on this page may have been obtained from third parties and does not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of BitKan. This content is provided for general informational purposes only, without any representation or warranty of any kind, nor shall it be construed as financial or investment advice. BitKan shall not be liable for any errors or omissions, or for any outcomes resulting from the use of this information. Investments in digital assets can be risky. Please carefully evaluate the risks of a product and your risk tolerance based on your own financial circumstances. Products mentioned in this article may not be available in your region.

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