Prediction markets have pegged the United States as an overwhelming favorite to reach the World Cup’s Round of 16 when the host nation meets Bosnia and Herzegovina in Santa Clara, even as traders soured on the Americans’ odds of winning the tournament outright.
Key Takeaways:
Kalshi traders price the USMNT at 85% to advance past Bosnia in Round of 32 tie.The same market gives the U.S. just a ~5% chance to win the World Cup, down sharply after a tougher draw.The U.S. team is priced at 48% to cover a -1.5 goal margin.
