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Wall Street Realism: Why Citigroup Slashed Its Bitcoin and Ethereum Targets

By CoinIdol
Jul 2, 2026
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Citigroup (Citi) announced major downward revisions to its 12-month price targets for both Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).

This represents the second time Citi has moved its target goalposts lower. Earlier in the year, the bank had already trimmed its expectations, but the latest adjustments reflect a deeper, structural shift in how Wall Street is pricing cryptocurrencies amidst an ongoing capital exodus and political gridlock.

The New Revisions: Base Case vs. Bear Case Bitcoin (BTC) Previous Target: $112,000 (Down from an initial $143,000 forecast) New 12-Month Target: $82,000 Pessimistic (Bear Case) Scenario: $53,000 Ethereum (ETH) Previous Target: $3,175 (Down from an initial $4,304 forecast) New 12-Month Target: $2,240 Pessimistic (Bear Case) Scenario: $1,094 Three Core Catalysts Behind the Downgrade

Citi’s quantitative analysts, led by data tracked across institutional corridors, point to a combination of macroeconomic headwinds and institutional stagnation rather than a single market shock.

The Complete Reversal of ETF Demand Stalled U.S. Legislation & The Washington Gridlock

A major pillar of Wall Street’s original bullish thesis was the expected passage of comprehensive U.S. digital asset legislation.

However, progress has ground to a halt. The Clarity Act, designed to map out exact jurisdictional boundaries between the SEC and CFTC and provide rules for stablecoin issuers, remains completely stalled in Congress. Without legal protections, institutional asset managers are choosing to keep their capital on the sidelines.

Strategic Capital Rotation and Corporate Treasury Risks

Furthermore, Wall Street is growing increasingly anxious about corporate "digital asset treasury companies." Firms that accumulated massive reserves of Bitcoin over the last few years are now facing operational debt pressures under a "higher-for-longer" interest rate environment, creating a lingering threat of large-scale corporate liquidations.

Adoption is Shifting to Infrastructure

Despite the pessimistic price targets, Citi's broader perspective on blockchain technology remains highly active. While the bank sees speculative tokens heading for an extended cooling period, it notes that institutional development is shifting internally.

Through its own internal project, Citi Token Services, the banking giant is continuing to invest heavily in tokenized commercial bank deposits, digital asset custody, and multi-chain interoperability.

The overarching consensus from Wall Street is clear: while the era of easy retail hype and speculative ETF-driven rallies faces a steep macro correction, the transition toward enterprise-grade, compliant financial infrastructure is moving forward behind closed doors.

Disclaimer. The data provided is collected by the author and is not sponsored by any company or token developer. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell cryptocurrency and should not be viewed as an endorsement by Coinidol.com. Readers should do their research before investing in funds. Brought from CoinIdol.com.

AuthorNina Lyon
Writer with over a decade of experience covering the cryptocurrency and blockchain industry. She began her career in the Blockchain and Crypto space in 2013 working with Cointelegraph.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may have been obtained from third parties and does not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of BitKan. This content is provided for general informational purposes only, without any representation or warranty of any kind, nor shall it be construed as financial or investment advice. BitKan shall not be liable for any errors or omissions, or for any outcomes resulting from the use of this information. Investments in digital assets can be risky. Please carefully evaluate the risks of a product and your risk tolerance based on your own financial circumstances. Products mentioned in this article may not be available in your region.

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