Rap superstar Drake has placed a $1.5 million bet in USDT on Argentina to beat Spain in Sunday’s FIFA World Cup final, a wager that could pay out roughly $5.175 million if Lionel Messi’s team wins in regulation or extra time.
Key Takeaways
Drake bet $1.5 million in USDT on Argentina at +245 odds through Stake ahead of the July 19 final.Drake has lost $5.7 million in public bets since Kendrick Lamar’s Euphoria dropped on April 30, 2024.Polymarket traders put $158 million on Argentina even as Kalshi prices Spain as the 59% favorite.Soccer has been his weakest category, costing him $1.67 million across his bets, including a $1 million wager on Argentina against France in the 2022 final that lost on a technicality tied to extra time, even though Argentina won the match. Cricket is the only sport where he shows a clear profit, up $997,500.
UFC events draw the most action from him, with $14.45 million placed across 26 bets, a category that includes a $1.45 million win on Jon Jones and a $1.595 million loss on Israel Adesanya. The losses have piled up since April 30, 2024, when Kendrick Lamar released “Euphoria” and reignited a rap feud that coincided with a rough betting stretch.
Drake is down $5.7 million across his public wagers since that date, a stretch that includes a $1 million loss on Conor McGregor against Max Holloway this July and a $1 million loss backing the Patriots in the 2026 Super Bowl.
The ‘Drake Curse’ Meets Messi’s Second ActAnalysts who track his betting record note that his highest-profile losses draw more attention than his wins, which skews public perception even as his overall numbers show real variance across hundreds of millions of dollars in action.
Prediction Markets Split on the Outcome What a Win or Loss Means for DrakeAn Argentina win would net Drake roughly $3.67 million in profit on this single bet, enough to erase most of his losses since the 2024 losing stretch began. A Spain win would add another data point to the curse narrative and push his soccer losses well past $2.5 million.
