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Ether ETFs on Shaky Ground: Likely Rejection Looms in May

By Martha Grizzard
Sep 3, 2024
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The CEO of investment firm VanEck, Jan van Eck, expressed doubts about the approval of spot Ethereum Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in May. In an interview with CNBC on April 9, van Eck suggested that VanEck's application for a spot Ethereum ETF is likely to face rejection. This sentiment is shared by CoinShares CEO Jean-Marie Mognetti, who also expressed skepticism about the approval of such projects in the latter half of the year.

VanEck's application for a spot Ethereum ETF, along with Cathie Wood's ARK Invest, is awaiting final decisions on May 23 and May 24 respectively. Van Eck highlighted the regulatory process, indicating that regulators typically provide comments on ETF applications prior to approval. However, with Ethereum's recent price decline, regulatory feedback has been lacking, contributing to the uncertain outlook for ETF approval in May.

The prolonged inaction from the SEC on seven pending spot ether ETF applications has raised concerns among industry commentators. Bloomberg ETF senior analyst Eric Balchunas noted the ongoing "radio silence" between regulators and potential fund issuers as a significant factor in the diminishing likelihood of ETF approval in May. Balchunas lowered the probability of an Ethereum ETF receiving formal approval from 70% to 35%.

The lack of interaction and feedback from the SEC has led analysts like James Seyffart to view the situation pessimistically. Seyffart emphasized that the absence of comments or engagement from regulators is concerning, suggesting that prolonged inaction may signify a negative outcome for ETF applicants. This sentiment is echoed by other industry experts who believe that the SEC's continued silence is a troubling indicator.

Despite the uncertainty surrounding Ethereum ETF approvals, VanEck's Spot Bitcoin ETF (ticker HODL) has experienced significant success since its launch in mid-January. With $461.7 million in inflows, it ranks as the fifth largest among 10 new funds launched. Van Eck attributed this success to Bitcoin's status as a "mature asset," indicating ongoing investor interest in gaining exposure to the cryptocurrency.

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