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US Inflation Cools in January to 2.4% as Markets Weigh Fed’s Next Move

By bitcoin.com
Feb 13, 2026
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January CPI Comes in Light, Core Holds at 2.5% January 2026 Consumer Price Index (CPI).

The 2.4% annual headline rate marks the lowest reading since May 2025 and reflects declines in energy prices alongside favorable base effects. Energy fell 1.5% in January, driven by a 3.2% drop in gasoline.

Shelter, however, continued to apply pressure, rising 0.2% on the month and 3.0% from a year earlier. Food prices increased 0.2% monthly and 2.9% annually, while services categories such as medical care and recreation also posted gains.

CME Fedwatch tool on Feb. 13, 2026.

For consumers, the message is nuanced: gasoline offered relief, but housing and services costs remain elevated. The path back to 2% appears closer than last fall, though not yet complete.

FAQ What was the January 2026 headline CPI?Headline CPI rose 0.2% month over month and 2.4% year over year. How did core inflation perform?Core CPI increased 0.3% monthly and 2.5% annually. What drove the slowdown in inflation?Energy prices, particularly gasoline, declined and pulled the headline rate lower. What does this mean for Federal Reserve policy?The softer reading may support rate-cut expectations later in 2026, though core inflation remains above target.
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