His near-term target for the S&P 500 sits around 6,100, roughly 10% below current levels, with the potential for a deeper slide toward 5,600 over time. Even more sobering, Soloway floated the possibility that U.S. equities could resemble Japan’s post-1980s peak experience.
On the U.S. dollar and Treasuries, Soloway acknowledged growing global diversification away from dollar-denominated assets. He pointed to declining foreign participation in Treasury markets and a long-term trendline in the dollar that, if broken, could signal structural weakness rather than a fleeting correction.
His broader message: focus on probability, respect technical signals, and abandon the assumption that the stock market will reliably deliver double-digit annual returns in the years ahead.
FAQ What is Gareth Soloway’s outlook for the stock market?He expects a continued downtrend with potential declines toward 6,100 and possibly 5,600 on the S&P 500. Why is Soloway bullish on bitcoin short term?He cites extreme bearish sentiment and a bullish chart pattern that could trigger a relief rally toward $80,000 to $85,000. What is his view on oil prices?Soloway remains bullish, warning that oil could reach $100 per barrel within the next couple of years. How does he suggest preparing for retirement?He recommends diversification across metals, bitcoin and dividend-paying stocks to preserve purchasing power.
